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Brazilian Real: Post‑election risks as Lula returns – Commerzbank

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Brazilian Real: Post‑election risks as Lula returns – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur reports that Brazil’s election outcome surprised markets, with Lula winning the run‑off and BRL dropping about 10% toward 5.50 per Dollar. He stresses Lula’s limited fiscal room given high debt and deficit, and argues the key for the Brazilian Real will be how quickly Lula can convince investors that his reform and consolidation pledges are credible.

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